Epidemiologist Ilir Alimehmeti has analyzed the epidemiological situation, recalling the risk of coronavirus for children and adolescents.
Through a status on the social network “Facebook”, Alimehmeti lists the studies and analyzes conducted by the “National Health System” in collaboration with other British institutions, published on July 2 this year, which address the causes of death of children and adolescents over 1 year pandemic starting from March 1, 2020 to February 28, 2021.
Published data show that during one year in the United Kingdom among children and adolescents occurred:
-3,105 total deaths,
-61 deaths with positive buffer, but only 25 deaths were as a result of COVID-19.
Recalling that there are over 12 million children and adolescents in the UK: mortality from SARS-CoV-2 was less than 2 in 1 million.
While the mortality rate from infection (IFR) is completely low.
The epidemiologist writes that based on studies it has been concluded that 99.995% of children and adolescents survive SARS-COV-2 and that this mortality rate is exactly the same as the seasonal mortality rate, which in this age group ranges from 0.003 % – 0.009%, depending on the years.
It is further stated that among the 25 deaths 19 had serious illnesses, 13 had serious neurological diseases (causes: genetic / metabolic diseases, cerebral or premature ischemia), and 8 individuals with neurological diseases also had severe respiratory diseases.
While 6 others had serious oncological, hematological, cardiac, endocrinological diseases and premature birth complications.
Meanwhile the authors have come to the conclusion that SARS-CoV-2 is very rarely fatal for children and adolescents, even for those with concomitant diseases.
-Survival is 99.995%.
-Our findings are 60% lower than the figures coming from positive tests, further reducing the calculation of the risk of pandemic death for this age group.
-The most at risk were ages> 10 years with Asian or black ethnicity.
So the NHS concludes that children and adolescents have a very minimal risk and is comparable to seasonal flu.
Finally the epidemiologist appeals: “Let the children be free to play, to have fun, to be educated, to grow, as is their right!”
Full status:
“Healthy children will not be afraid of life if adults have enough integrity not to be afraid of death.”
Cit .: Prof. Erik Erikson (1902-1994)
The risk of COVID-19 for children and adolescents is completely minimal my friends!
As noted at the outset, adolescents and adolescents are generally more susceptible to SARS-CoV-2 infection.
These surveys are already supported by official evidence, as in the case of official UK data.
The NHS (National Health System) in collaboration with other elite British institutions, published on 8 July 2021 the study of the causes of death of children and adolescents (<18 years old) during a pandemic year (period 1 March 2020 - 28 February 2021).
Their findings are as impressive as they were predictable.
In detail, over the course of a year, among children and adolescents in the UK have occurred:
3,105 total deaths,
61 deaths with positive buffer, but
A single 25 deaths were as a result of COVID-19.
Recalling that there are over 12 million children and adolescents in the UK:
mortality from SARS-CoV-2 resulted in less than 2 in 1 million.
Infection mortality rate (IFR) is completely low:
469,982 children and adolescents were infected during this period as a result
IFR = 25 / 469.982 = <0.005%.
Thus, 99.995% OF CHILDREN AND ADOLESCENTS SURVIVE SARS-COV-2.
This mortality rate is exactly the same as the seasonal flu mortality rate, which in this age group ranges from 0.003% – 0.009%, depending on the years.
The authors go further and announce that among the 25 deaths:
19 had serious illnesses,
13 had serious neurological diseases (causes: genetic / metabolic diseases, cerebral ischemia or premature birth), and
8 individuals with neurological diseases also had severe respiratory diseases,
6 others had serious oncological, hematological, cardiac, endocrinological diseases and complications of premature birth.
Among the 25 deaths,
6 (24%) occurred in individuals without disease, which is the same as
729 deaths occurred in children without COVID-19 (729/3080 = 24%).
Thankfully no deaths occurred in:
persons only with respiratory diseases (including asthma),
persons with type 1 diabetes,
persons with trisomy 21 (Down syndrome), or
persons only with epilepsy.
The authors draw clear conclusions:
SARS-CoV-2 is very rarely fatal to children and adolescents, even those with concomitant diseases.
Survival is 99.995%.
Our findings are 60% lower than the figures coming from positive tests, further reducing the estimate of pandemic death risk for this age group.
Most at risk were ages> 10 with Asian or black ethnicity.
These findings are important for guiding families, clinicians, and policymakers on future protection and vaccination strategies.
Short, beautiful, clear:
The NHS clearly states that children and adolescents have a very minimal risk and is comparable to seasonal flu.
So my friends:
Let the children be free to play, to have fun, to be educated, to grow, as is their right!
Dr. Shk. Ilir Alimehmeti
Epidemiologist Clinic
Faculty of Medicine, UMT
Albanian Academy of Sciences
